MA(9): $3.51
MA(20): $3.75
MACD: -0.1043
Signal: -0.2169
Days since crossover: 2
Value: 66.11
Category: NEUTRAL
Current: 350,678
Avg (20d): 172,844
Ratio: 2.03
%K: 93.5
%D: 58.72
ADX: 23.34
+DI: 42.4
-DI: 18.04
Value: -6.5
Upper: 4.82
Middle: 3.75
Lower: 2.68
| Category | Current (BCFD) | Last Week | Last Year | 3 Yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dry Production | 109.9 | 109.7 | 104.0 | 103.07 |
| LNG Imports | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.07 |
| Canadian Imports | 6.0 | 5.5 | 6.8 | 6.13 |
| Total Supply | 115.9 | 115.2 | 110.8 | 109.23 |
| Industrial Demand | 23.6 | 21.3 | 25.4 | 25.3 |
| Electric Power Demand | 34.7 | 32.9 | 35.2 | 34.07 |
| Residential & Commercial | 47.0 | 35.1 | 38.9 | 40.97 |
| LNG Exports | 18.8 | 18.3 | 14.8 | 14.03 |
| Mexico Exports | 5.8 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 5.93 |
| Pipeline Fuel | 8.83 | 8.83 | 7.8 | 7.83 |
| Total Demand | 138.72 | 122.72 | 128.3 | 128.17 |
| Supply/Demand Balance | -22.82 | -7.52 | -17.5 | -18.93 |
TTF prices decreased to 11.157 EUR/MWh (-0.101). JKM prices remained stable to 9.610 USD/MMBtu (+0.000). JKM is trading at a discount of 1.547 to TTF, suggesting weaker Asian demand.
Front month: FEB 26
As of 2026-01-21
Front month: FEB 26
As of 2026-01-21
JKM is trading at a discount to TTF, suggesting weaker Asian demand.
As of 2026-01-21
| Month | Price (EUR/MWh) |
|---|---|
| FEB 26 | 11.157 |
| MAR 26 | 11.830 |
| APR 26 | 10.801 |
| MAY 26 | 10.351 |
| JUN 26 | 10.259 |
| JUL 26 | 10.183 |
| AUG 26 | 10.175 |
| SEP 26 | 10.287 |
| OCT 26 | 10.238 |
| NOV 26 | 10.258 |
| DEC 26 | 10.354 |
| JAN 27 | 10.401 |
| Month | Price (USD/MMBtu) |
|---|---|
| FEB 26 | 9.610 |
| MAR 26 | 10.805 |
| APR 26 | 10.415 |
| MAY 26 | 10.170 |
| JUN 26 | 10.220 |
| JUL 26 | 10.220 |
| AUG 26 | 10.285 |
| SEP 26 | 10.265 |
| OCT 26 | 10.155 |
| NOV 26 | 10.170 |
| DEC 26 | 10.385 |
| JAN 27 | 10.525 |
| Date | Prediction | Lower Bound | Upper Bound |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | $3.84 | $3.31 | $4.38 |
| 2026-01-22 | $3.85 | $3.31 | $4.38 |
| 2026-01-23 | $3.89 | $3.36 | $4.43 |
| 2026-01-24 | $3.9 | $3.37 | $4.43 |
| 2026-01-25 | $3.85 | $3.32 | $4.39 |
The market sentiment is currently bullish with a sentiment score of +0.725, indicating positive trader sentiment. However, the technical indicators suggest a moderately bullish outlook with a score of 2/5. Key price levels to watch are the Fibonacci support at 4.54 and resistance at 4.96. The ML price forecast for the next day suggests a potential decline of 1.67%, with a projected range between 3.31 and 4.38. Traders should be cautious of volatility around these levels, especially given the significant fundamental balance change of -15.30 BCFD, which could impact supply dynamics.
The current market sentiment is favorable for producers, with a strong sentiment score of +0.850 for natural gas. However, the fundamental balance indicates a significant deficit of -22.82 BCFD, which may necessitate adjustments in production planning. The high heating demand forecasted due to frigid weather conditions suggests a potential increase in sales, yet producers should consider hedging strategies to mitigate risks associated with price fluctuations as the weather impacts demand heavily. Overall, while the sentiment is positive, careful monitoring of supply and demand dynamics is essential for effective operational planning.
The outlook for consumers appears challenging, as the high heating demand due to severe weather conditions may lead to increased costs for natural gas. The fundamental balance indicates a deficit of -22.82 BCFD, raising concerns about supply reliability. With the ML price forecast predicting a decline of 1.67%, consumers might find short-term opportunities to procure at lower prices. However, the expected volatility and potential for price spikes due to weather impacts necessitate proactive procurement strategies to secure stable supply and manage costs effectively.
The current market presents a complex picture with strong bullish sentiment overall, particularly for natural gas. The fundamental balance reflects a concerning deficit, which could lead to supply constraints amidst high heating demand driven by frigid weather conditions. The ML price forecast indicates a potential short-term decline, suggesting analysts should monitor market reactions closely to adjust forecasts accordingly. The divergence between positive sentiment and actual supply-demand fundamentals highlights the need for careful analysis of market drivers, including geopolitical factors and weather impacts, to predict future price movements accurately.